On February 23, 2025, German citizens will be called to the polls for early federal elections, a rather rare event in the…
Gaspard Schnitzler and Erik Vouvalidis
February 4, 2025
This policy report is part of a special series, directed by Laurent Borzillo (Forum de défense et stratégie, FDS), Teodora Morosanu (FDS),…
This policy brief is part of a special series, directed by Laurent Borzillo (Forum de défense et stratégie, FDS), Teodora Morosanu (FDS),…
This policy report is part of a special series, directed by Laurent Borzillo (Forum de défense et stratégie, FDS), Teodora Morosanu (FDS),…
This policy report is part of a special series, directed by Laurent Borzillo (Forum de défense et stratégie, FDS), Teodora Morosanu (FDS),…
(The End of the Assad Era in Syria: Between International Pressure and Domestic Challenges - Gianmarco Fontana) After years of stalemate, the…
(Italy and the Russo-Ukrainian War: Strategic Continuity or the Impact of Populist Tensions? - Nicolas-François Perron) Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in…
Since the start of the Russo-Ukrainian War, two camps have rapidly emerged. Those supporting Ukraine in the defence of its territory and…
(Canada Must Prepare for the Seismic Shakeup that the Pentagon Will Face - Theodore McLauchlin) Donald Trump’s election has such wide-ranging implications…
Mathis Couturier
December 5, 2024
Canada must intensify its international cooperation in outer space to remain competitive and relevant in the global arena. This strategic note explores…
The Russian-Ukrainian war, triggered by the Russian invasion of 2022, is not limited to military confrontations. At the heart of this modern…
Kevan Gafaïti
November 14, 2024
Are Iran and Russia truly allies? This sensitive and timely question finds substantial answers in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine,…
In many ways, the events of fall 2024 represent a significant setback and a major turning point for Tehran's influence in the…
Benjamin Toubol
October 21, 2024
On August 5, 2024, the Secretary General of the Lebanese Shiite political-military group Hezbollah (“Party of God”) tweeted in Hebrew: “Maybe tonight,…
Martin de La Garanderie
October 7, 2024
The foreign agents law under the leadership of Bidzina Ivanichvili and the Russians Last May, the government led by the Georgian Dream…
Quentin Martel
October 4, 2024
Geopolitical tensions linked to the Arctic have developed as a result of Russia's hostile attitude in the region. The war in Ukraine…
Martin de La Garanderie
September 27, 2024
In the autumn of 2023, Azerbaijan's armed forces completed their reconquest of the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, until then controlled by the self-proclaimed…
Bailee Dobson
September 9, 2024
The development of quantum technology is at the forefront of international security concerns. Unsurprisingly, with quantum computers expected to break current cryptographic…
“... surprise therefore becomes the means of acquiring superiority... When it succeeds, it sows confusion and breaks the enemy's courage” - Carl…
On February 19, the Department of National Defence issued a press release announcing a donation of more than 800 drones to Ukraine.…
“What happens in the North impacts the world, and when you look at security issues and climate change, the world is paying…
[This piece was originally published by War on the Rocks and is accessible in full here.] Canada’s military is in a “death…
Following the recent clashes between Iran and Israel, and with the situation tending towards a return to calm, it is time for…
Eliott Le Gall
April 5, 2024
Cyprus, a divided island "Peace is not the absence of war, it is a virtue, a state of mind, a will to…
Kim Richard Nossal
April 5, 2024
In many respects, Donald Trump’s 100-minute rally held in Conway, South Carolina, on February 10, 2024, was just like his previous rallies.…
Get the book Indo-Pacific: A Strategic Region, the seventh volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book is available in…
Olivier Sueur
February 29, 2024
One year ago, Le Rubicon honoured me by publishing an article entitled “Ukraine-Russie : une guerre de 20 ans” (Ukraine-Russia: a 20-year war),…
In early February 2024, Sudan's acting Foreign Minister, Ali Al Sadiq, traveled to Tehran to meet his counterpart Hossein Amir-Abdollahian and Iranian…
In the wake of the 2021 sexual harassment and assault crisis involving allegations against high-ranking officers, including two Chiefs of the Defence…
Olivier Sueur
February 8, 2024
After thirty years of quite peaceful coexistence between the economic and geopolitical spheres (1990-2020), the former is being overtaken by the latter…
David Pappalardo
January 30, 2024
The concept of “integrated deterrence” is central to the US National Defense Strategy published by the Biden administration at the end of…
Hours after the spectacular raid carried out by Hamas by crossing the Israeli border on Saturday, October 7th, the attention of many…
In the wake of Russian invasion of Ukraine, Finland and Sweden announced in May 2022 their intention to join NATO. These historic…
James Lee , Ja Ian Chong, Hsin-Hsin Pan, Chien-Huei Wu and Wen-Chin Wu
November 6, 2023
The United States’ policy toward Taiwan has been a source of continuing controversy. Amid warnings that Beijing may be preparing to use…
Western opposition to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has undeniably had consequences for interstate diplomatic, military and economic dynamics. Among them is the…
The allocation of the continental shelf in the Arctic region has generated significant speculation. Some, particularly in the media, portray this issue…
The latest Italian elections, held in September 2022, represent a turning point for both the country and the international community. According to…
September 16, 2022 - Mahsa Amini, a young Kurdish woman arrested in Tehran because her veil was poorly adjusted, was taken to…
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) finally updated its Strategic Concept in 2022, a few months after Russia invaded Ukraine. Although this…
While the Baltic Sea is becoming a “NATO lake” with Finland’s entry into NATO and Sweden’s upcoming integration, the Alliance seeks to…
In May 2023, press reports stated that an artificial intelligence (AI)-controlled drone had killed its own instructor during a test conducted by…
Get the book Security Challenges in Africa, the sixth volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book is available in…
This strategic note examines the initial lessons that can be drawn from the war in Ukraine. It is primarily based on two…
Last year’s peace talks between Chadian authorities armed groups and the National Dialogue may have appeared to usher in a new dawn…
The media scene hastily portrayed the Bayraktar TB-2 drone as "Kyiv's aerial asset" to fight incursions by the Russian invader, overestimating its…
Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the Arctic region has been the focus of many economic sanctions by Western countries,…
Donald Trump’s attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 election, culminating in the January 6th, 2021 uprising, have left grave questions…
Ten years after establishing the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA), the future of the mission and its 15,000…
Russia’s warmongering and revisionist behaviour in Ukraine raises questions about its position in the Arctic, given the region’s strategic importance for Russia.…
Get the book Ukraine, one year later: first lessons and perspectives, the fifth volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that…
Anna Nadibaidze
March 3, 2023
On 29 January 2023, Dmitry Rogozin, the former head of Russian space agency and now head of the “Tsar’s Wolves” group of…
Marie Robin
February 27, 2023
On August 1st, U.S. President Joe Biden announced the elimination of the leader of the terrorist organization Al-Qaeda, Ayman Al-Zawahiri, on the…
February 2023: Nearly twelve months after Russia’s large-scale invasion of Ukraine, and while Kyiv’s allies continue, for some, quibble over the type…
In the face of Beijing’s aggressive behavior in the South and East China Seas and Moscow’s in Eastern Europe, balance of threat…
After the multiplication of military setbacks Russia suffered in the face of the Ukrainian armed forces’ counter-offensive, it is fashionable to say…
Turkey’s and Iran’s military supply to the Russian and Ukrainian armed forces has been evidenced by the presence of TB2, Mohajer, and…
Canada's Minister of National Defence, Anita Anand, announced that Canada would acquire a new fleet of 88 F-35 fighter jets. The cost…
For a country that has not undertaken a comprehensive foreign policy review in nearly two decades, Canada has been fortunate to have…
Get the book France's strategic challenges, the fourth volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book is available in…
Hypersonic weapons can increase pre-emption fears and dangerously alter crisis escalation scenarios by the 2030s. This popular argument builds on the expectations…
Hyon Joo Yoo
November 25, 2022
While tensions between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the United States have intensified over Taiwan for the past several months,…
The prospects for peace in Ukraine are currently the subject of vigorous discussion. Three main positions structure the debate. On the one…
Introduction Charles Tilly’s pithy maxim that “war made the state, and the state made war,” succinctly describes the effects of wartime constraints…
Get the book The European and Transatlantic Awakening, the third volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book is…
As part of the development of this annual colloquium in September 2022, the NSA held a series of consultations earlier this summer…
Overview The 48th G7 summit marked a recommitment by G7 countries to develop approaches for challenging China’s increasing geopolitical dominance and cybersecurity…
Charles Parton
September 6, 2022
This paper is a written version of a contribution made on 2nd June 2022 at a conference ‘Is War over Taiwan Coming?’…
James Lee
August 29, 2022
This paper is a written version of a contribution made on 2nd June 2022 at a conference ‘Is War over Taiwan Coming?’…
Steven F. Jackson
July 12, 2022
Is war over Taiwan coming? Yes, possibly within five years. Recent statements by U.S. President Biden have reinforced an implicit U.S. security…
Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine marked a clear violation of international law. Vladimir Putin denies Ukraine’s statehood, but Russia’s war of aggression…
On February 23, 2022, the Kirkenes Conference opened, a conference held annually in northern Norway since 2002. The forum has gradually gained…
The prophecy for the end of history and the inevitable triumph of the democratic model is now facing a significant challenge, as…
Is war over Taiwan coming? If yes, how would it take place? These questions are among the most salient debates in the…
In a June interview with La Dépêche du Midi, President Emmanuel Macron said: "We must not humiliate Russia so that the day…
A question has been raised since the beginning of the fighting in Ukraine on February 24, 2022: if the government were to…
Get the book The New Forms of War, the second volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book is…
In an interview made to all the French regional daily press, French President Emmanuel Macron asserted that "[We] must not humiliate Russia…
Is the conflict in the Sahel on its way to becoming yet another failure in the total war on terror? After months…
The Russian invasion of Ukraine sent such a shock wave through Western capitals that it led to a military surge. This is…
The war currently raging in Ukraine has led to fears that a similar conflict could erupt in the Taiwan Strait. Tensions between…
When an empire bids farewell, it can do so with a certain elegance, or by leaving chaos and desolation on its trail.…
It is now undeniable that Russia has become an influential and dangerous actor in the Sahel, which may be deliberately exacerbating the…
Constructed as a heroic pilot, the ability of the Ghost of Kiev to make the Russian air force falter won over the…
Following its second annual colloquium, the Network for Strategic Analysis has produced the compendium "What's Next? Managing Traditional and New Threats through…
This policy report argues that the current war in Ukraine is unlikely to break the Chinese-Russian unlimited partnership and will accelerate the…
Context The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) is a cooperative group, comprised of India, Japan, Australia and the United States, that was first…
Get the book Ukraine: Le choc de la guerre, the first volume of the new Rubicon collection! Please note that this book…
On February 24, 2022, when most experts believed that a significant but limited Russian attack on Eastern Ukraine was likely – at…
The idea that Canadian territory could be attacked by a Russian air, ballistic or naval attack is not new. Scientific or media…
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has brought the important modernization of the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) back on the agenda…
As the war is raging in Ukraine, shock waves reverberate in East Asia, where many in Taiwan fear they could be next.…
All indicates that the Trudeau government will soon publish its strategy for the Indo-Pacific. Very little has been leaked from the document…
While Russia and the United States are in high tension over the imminence of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, the prevention of…
Law proves to be omnipresent in international relations today, notably acting as a regulator of interstate activities or as a vector of…
Russia has been massing troops near Ukraine’s borders for months. Over 100,000 Russian troops have been reported lately, including ballistic missile systems…
The question of whether Canada should have a foreign human intelligence service, along the lines of the American Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)…
The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) review conference is scheduled for January 2022. Since its ratification in 1968 and the end of the…
In 2001, the signing of the Bonn Agreement marked the beginning of a major Western investment in the cultural, economic and political…
After being ruled by Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its junior coalition partners since 2005, Germany is set for Vice-Chancellor…
Pierre Morcos, "After the AUKUS Crisis, Are France-U.S. Relations Back on Track?," Commentary, Center for Strategic and International Studies, November 16, 2021.